Author: Thomas Connolly

Tom possesses a rich and diverse background that includes deep investing experience, senior corporate executive positions, and roles as a Regional Managing Partner and Global Industry Leader within Ernst & Young. He has advised executives on some of the largest acquisitions and dispositions in the Media and Entertainment industry, including clients such as Comcast, Citibank, Sony, Dalian Wanda and Publicis. Tom is a Certified Public Accountant with a Masters Degree from Columbia University. His skills are further accompanied by a personal passion for the study of economic trends and evolving market dynamics.

So how do my investments align with my vision of the future?

There is a curiosity I hear about the composition of my crypto asset holdings. What I have not heard is the question of how do my equity portfolios compliment my crypto portfolios?

The screenshots of three exchange portfolios that I manage are below. They are ordered by USD value from largest position to smallest position. This is all Crypto focused. The stock positions will follow. Stocks will reflect Crypto, AI and Precious metals.

Crypto Portfolio 1

Crypto Portfolio 2

Crypto Portfolio 3

So the above reflects my crypto preferences. What about my equity ownership? Is it aligned with crypto? You tell me……..

Equity Portfolio 1

Equity Portfolio 2

Equity Portfolio 3

Market breadth should ratify a sustainable move led by BTC and ETH

There is value to looking at the Crypto mkt without the impact of price changes in BTC and ETH. The expectation is that overall market strength should reveal itself if the price movement is broad and has legs that are sustainable.

What does this chart tell you?

Pictures to inform us that the Market Value of Crypto may be ready for a material move Higher

Email me with questions you may have on what each of the pictures means to me. Give your email a subject line of “The Future by a Futurist”.

I will write more about each chart over the coming timeframe of this month to be posted here as the market tells us its story.

This chart let’s me see how far the current market cap is from the last low over the prior 90 days. As you can see, we have been at the zero level recently as we set new lows over the past 90 days. This condition, as you can see looking back in time, occurs infrequently and may be used as an indicator of market sentiment change when there is a breakout higher that exceeds the prior bounces.

This chart takes market data and assesse whether strength or weakness is more prevalent in the change of the current market over a 30 consecutuve day period when compared to the strength or weakness over the longer period of 90 days. I am looking for a change in momentum that may validate a new bull or bear run. This chart tells me we are on the cusp of a bull run higher.

This chart takes market data and assesse whether strength or weakness is more prevalent in the change of the current market over a 30 consecutuve day period when compared to the strength or weakness over the longer period of 90 days. The magnitude of the peaks and the valleys has been in a volatile period of dramatic price swings. From the current level I am paying attention to see if we move to a less volatile and more sustainable direction that is rational in a more normalized environment of demand and adoption.

Changes in momentum may be seen by simply counting the number of up days and down days over a rolling 90 day period. The current position tells me the market is neutral and churning. It has come off of a negative period where down days outnumbered up days. That has moved to neutral. Is the momentum there to keep building on a positive count? Stay tuned.

My current musings on the Crypto Killer App

For many years the wish in the crypto sector was for a killer App that would bring millions, if not billions of people to the world of digital assets and blockchains. We all became expectant parents waiting for the baby to arrive similar to Email and virtual retail that caused internet use and investment. We were looking for the wrong type of App or product. The day of accelerated adoption is happening now. Regulation is favorable, a needed ingredient to advance confidence. But what is the product or service that has been missing?

Stable coins! They are exploding and offer a worldwide reservoir of US Dollar assets in token form that is needed/wanted by foreign governments, global companies, and the world’s population that trust the reserve currency status of the US Dollar and the US Economy. White label US dollar stable coin cards will be sold at retail. Tokenized money movements will explode driven by the desire to have liquid assets in US Dollar equivalents. Banks and financial institutions are embracing this. Crypto adoption by PayPal, Venmo, JP Morgan, and others is accelerating through stable coins. The public will no longer labor over exchange transactions, private keys, account log-ins across multiple platforms, and the other frustrations that kept them out of the world of digital platforms. People will begin the journey into a new financial world with higher confidence and a sense of understanding of the power of the US Dollar and the store of value in Bitcoin and Ether.

Pay attention to your normal world and look for signs of availability and use of these stable coin vehicles. The rate of change is accelerating, and this presents great opportunities for new and old businesses and financial service providers. Catch the wave……it will be one helluva ride, one that is complimented and energized by AI.